BitcoinBTC · Polymarket · 5 minute round
Live
Price to beat85,922.51
Price now85,921.910.60 below
Ends in4:58
Up 33.5¢Down 66.5¢
Settled up 50.2%Settled down 49.8%
Across 6,796 recorded 5 minute rounds
Polymarket · 5 and 15 minute rounds

Bitcoin up/down markets on Polymarket

A Bitcoin up/down round on Polymarket settles UP if BTC finishes the window at or above the price it opened at, and DOWN otherwise. Across 6796 rounds recorded by TradeLabs, 3412 settled up and 3384 settled down (50.2% up).

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What 6796 recorded 5 minute rounds look like

6796Rounds recorded
3412Settled up
3384Settled down
50.2%Share up
11Longest up run
13Longest down run

6754 of these 6796 are confirmed against the venue's own published result; the rest are recorded from price data and are replaced if the venue settles them differently.

The last 40 rounds

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Settled upSettled downOldest on the left, newest on the right. Hover a square for its time.
Round opened (UTC)OutcomeSource
2026-10-02 05:30DOWNrecorded from price
2026-10-02 05:25DOWNvenue confirmed
2026-10-02 05:20DOWNvenue confirmed
2026-10-02 05:15DOWNvenue confirmed
2026-10-02 05:10DOWNvenue confirmed
2026-10-02 05:05UPvenue confirmed
2026-10-02 05:00DOWNvenue confirmed
2026-10-02 04:55UPvenue confirmed
2026-10-02 04:50DOWNvenue confirmed
2026-10-02 04:45UPvenue confirmed
2026-10-02 04:40UPvenue confirmed
2026-10-02 04:35DOWNvenue confirmed

BTC 15 minute rounds

86,299.9115 min price to beat
4m 58s15 min round ends in

Across 2292 recorded 15 minute rounds, 1153 settled up and 1139 settled down (50.3% up). The longest runs were 11 up and 10 down in a row.

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Settled upSettled downOldest on the left, newest on the right. Hover a square for its time.

The last 20 15 minute rounds, oldest first. 2292 of the 2292 recorded are confirmed against the venue’s published result.

How a Polymarket round settles

A round settles UP when the reference price at the close of the window is at or above the reference price at the open, and DOWN otherwise. Polymarket resolves against a time-weighted average price rather than a single instantaneous tick, which is why the figure shown on a venue page can lag a spot price you see elsewhere.

Polymarket currently runs these markets over 5 minutes and 15 minutes.

Fees: on Polymarket only the taker pays a trading fee. On crypto markets it is highest when a side trades near 50 cents, about $1.75 per 100 shares, and smaller toward either end; makers pay nothing. Polymarket’s fee page has the current rates.

Other assets on Polymarket

Get the data

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Today’s rounds are on Bitcoin up or down today, with the live 5 and 15 minute rounds.

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Counted from real data
Rounds recorded71,406
Calls graded22,825
Assets tracked8
Signal engines23

Figures are counted from rounds TradeLabs has recorded and each is shown with its sample size. Market outcomes only. Nothing here is a claim about prediction accuracy, and nothing here is financial advice. TradeLabs AI · Up/down markets · Bitcoin today · Outcome dataset · Leaderboard · Weekly season · Paper trading