Polymarket Bitcoin up or down today
So far today (UTC), 67 five minute Polymarket Bitcoin rounds have settled: 33 up and 34 down. A round settles up when Bitcoin finishes the window at or above its price to beat, the price it opened at.
TradeLabs makes an up or down call for each 5 minute Bitcoin round, and every call is scored in public (how we score).
ETH
SOL
XRP
DOGE
HYPE
BNB
ZECThe rounds running now
Bitcoin was at 85,941.36 when this page was served.
5 minute round
15 minute round
These figures were captured when the page was served. Open the live chart for the running figures.
Today so far
| Round length | Settled today | Up | Down | Share up |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 minutes | 67 | 33 | 34 | 49.3% |
| 15 minutes | 22 | 11 | 11 | 50.0% |
Today’s last 48 five minute rounds
This week
| Day (UTC) | 5 min up | 5 min down | 15 min up | 15 min down |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Today | 33 | 34 | 11 | 11 |
| Thu 1 Oct | 155 | 133 | 51 | 45 |
| Wed 30 Sep | 141 | 147 | 44 | 52 |
| Tue 29 Sep | 142 | 146 | 48 | 48 |
| Mon 28 Sep | 133 | 155 | 51 | 45 |
| Sun 27 Sep | 140 | 148 | 57 | 39 |
| Sat 26 Sep | 147 | 141 | 50 | 46 |
88 of today’s 89 rounds are confirmed against Polymarket’s published result. A round not yet confirmed is recorded from price data and is replaced if Polymarket settles it differently.
How these rounds work
These are Polymarket’s Bitcoin up or down markets. Each round opens with a price to beat, and when the window closes it settles up if Bitcoin is at or above that price, and down otherwise. The rounds on this page run every 5 minutes and every 15 minutes.
Fees: on Polymarket only the taker pays a trading fee. On crypto markets it is highest when a side trades near 50 cents, about $1.75 per 100 shares, and smaller toward either end; makers pay nothing. Polymarket’s fee page has the current rates.
More
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Figures are counted from rounds TradeLabs has recorded and each is shown with its sample size. Market outcomes only. Nothing here is a claim about prediction accuracy, and nothing here is financial advice. TradeLabs AI · Up/down markets · Bitcoin today · Outcome dataset · Leaderboard · Weekly season · Paper trading