Polymarket up or down markets, explained
An up/down market is a binary market on whether an asset finishes a fixed window higher or lower than it started. They are also called short-duration crypto event contracts. A round opens, a reference price is fixed, and when the window closes the round settles UP or DOWN. The shortest run over five minutes.
A free account shows the running round, its price to beat and the countdown on one chart. Already signed up? Open it here.
ETH
SOL
XRP
DOGE
HYPE
BNB
ZECHow a round works
1. The round opens
A reference price is fixed at the start of the window. This is the price the round settles against, often called the price to beat.
2. The window runs
Five or fifteen minutes, depending on the market. The price moves above or below the reference.
3. The round settles
At the close, the price is compared with the reference. At or above settles up; below settles down.
Why the price you see can differ from the price that settles
Venues do not all settle against the same number. Some use a time-weighted average price rather than a single instantaneous tick, so the figure displayed on a venue page can lag a spot price quoted elsewhere. This is the most common source of confusion in these markets, and it is why the price a round settles against is worth watching separately from spot.
Venues
Assets
The data
Every round TradeLabs has recorded is on the record, coin by coin: when each round opened, the asset, and whether it settled up or down. Pro accounts can download the whole thing as CSV and JSON.
Follow rounds live
TradeLabs shows the running round, the price it settles against and the recorded outcome history on one screen.
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Figures are counted from rounds TradeLabs has recorded and each is shown with its sample size. Market outcomes only. Nothing here is a claim about prediction accuracy, and nothing here is financial advice. TradeLabs AI · Up/down markets · Bitcoin today · Outcome dataset · Leaderboard · Weekly season · Paper trading